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I took the liberty to compile the Malaysian Petrol price (RM/Litre) against the world crude oil price (USD/Barrel) and US Gas Price (RM/Litre). In the last few months, the world crude oil has been dropping at a high rate. the same goes to the US gasoline prices (converted from USD/Gallon to KM/Liter). Our own petrol price reduction rate on the other hand has been much slower as you can see the slope was less than the crude oil and US gasoline price. To be fair, when the world sees an increase in oil price, the Malaysian petrol price has been itching up slowly, to the benefit of the Malaysian people.
Since the government could not afford to subsidize us, it is only natural for the petrol price to go up. But since the crude oil price now goes down, shouldn’t we enjoy similar petrol price reduction as the government now subsidize less, or even no more subsidizing?
Anyway, one thing to note is that today’s crude oil price is at when it was in Sept 2007(USD70.94/barrel). Then, the US gasoline price was RM2.67/litre. We were at RM1.92/litre. Today, the Crude Oil is at USD68.22, the US gasoline price is at RM3.12/litre, and our petrol price is at RM2.30/litre. Is our petrol price where it should be without subsidy? The truth is, we dont know how much is our subsidy. In September 2007, we were paying RM0.75 less than the average Joe in America. Today, we are paying RM0.82 less. Well, these calculations aren’t that accurate anyway. But one thing to note is that, in 2007, we were subsidized and paying 75 cent less, today, we are subsidized less or no subsidy at all, and paying 82 cent less. I am tempted to conclude that the subsidy was all a hot air talk, but then again, these calculations that I made were widely averaged and assumed, so such conclusion has a large margin of error.
I am interested to see how the Malaysian petrol price will be when the crude oil price drops further, watch this space….
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